
Housing Market Pivots to Slower, Rate-Driven Phase as National Price Growth Cools to 0.7%
Mortgage rates above 6% and widening regional divergence are reshaping affordability and supply dynamics, with inventory rising even as closings remain flat.

As 30-year fixed rates climb to 6.56%, nearly 10% of borrowers are now opting for adjustable-rate mortgages, the highest share since October 2025.

Regional banks extend-and-pretend while borrowers face soaring debt service costs, creating openings for family office capital.

Green Street's April index shows continued repricing across U.S. income properties, with higher rates and cautious lenders keeping transaction volumes muted.
Warehouse and last-mile distribution assets are seeing renewed bidding pressure as e-commerce volumes rebound from 2024 lows.
Mesa, Chandler and Scottsdale all post double-digit job-growth metrics as family offices accumulate land and industrial holdings.

Greg Abel's first major strategic deal as CEO deepens the conglomerate's exposure to U.S. residential construction despite elevated rates and affordability headwinds.

JLL's 2026 guide tracking 68 cities shows North American markets commanding $3,200 per square metre while geopolitical disruption and copper pricing feed through to technology infrastructure.

Improving fundamentals and lower interest rates set stage for stronger year, but cost pressures and supply constraints will test capital allocation strategies across property sectors.

April's consumer price index jumped on energy and shelter gains, but lagging survey methodology may be masking rent deflation already visible in private markets.
Single-family rental portfolios are stabilizing operationally after several volatile years of cost inflation.

New analysis of the proposed Equity Residential-AvalonBay merger highlights the growing disconnect between public and private market pricing as capital costs reshape commercial real estate.

More than two-fifths of U.S. homeowners report substantial premium increases, with rates climbing faster than inflation across 95% of ZIP codes.