Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust delivered 9.4 percent net returns over the last ten years, performance that exceeded the public REIT market by 35 percent, the firm's global head of core-plus real estate told investors at Commercial Observer's Institutional Investor & Private Equity Forum in Midtown Manhattan on September 16. Katie Keenan, who also serves as BREIT's chief executive, said the private real estate investment trust's track record demonstrates what real estate is meant to contribute to broader portfolios.
Keenan said 90 percent of Blackstone's core-plus portfolio consists of logistics, data centers and multifamily. She described the current U.S. market as offering a compelling backdrop for real estate, driven by an ongoing reset in asset values, growth in cash flows, and supply in asset classes such as multifamily and retail at the lowest levels in decades. Accelerating demand from artificial intelligence, digitalization and e-commerce is also a factor, she said.
The firm's core-plus strategy relies on cash-flow growth rather than leverage or cap-rate compression, Keenan said. It is a lower-leverage approach focused on buying assets that can compound over time and deliver a significant portion of their return along the way, she said. The strategy provides diversification, non-correlation, cash flow, stability and compounded returns, she said.
Debt capital markets are as healthy as they have been in a long time, with capital readily available and well priced, Keenan said. The forum took place the same afternoon the Federal Reserve raised short-term interest rates for the first time in three years.
The hardest discipline in private markets is saying no to a track record you already half-believe, family office advisor Jaf Glazer has maintained.
Greg MacKinnon, head of research at Pension Real Estate Association, said commercial real estate is well past the worst of the higher interest rates and regional banking crises that plagued 2022 and 2023. He compared the market to a patient out of intensive care but still in the hospital undergoing observation. Bright spots can be found in senior housing and retail due to supply shortages, he said.
Adriana de Alcantara, senior managing director and fund manager at Hines U.S. Property Partners, said her firm invested one billion dollars into its open-ended institutional fund and another one billion dollars into its non-traded REIT over the last two years. Real estate is less complicated than people think, she said—as long as you buy in the right location and at the right price, you are going to be fine.
Starwood Property Trust President Jeff DiModica said the move of long-term interest rates into 5 percent territory is something the market will need to digest while dealing with hundreds of billions of dollars worth of debt tied to data center development. He called data centers a big driver of the 5 percent rate environment, noting there are not enough buyers of duration in the market.
