Monday, November 2, 2026

Colliers Warns Commercial Property Owners to Prepare for El Niño Weather Disruption

Severe weather volatility can erode asset performance through higher operating costs and tenant disruption even when buildings avoid physical damage, the firm said.

By the Family Office Real Estate Daily Desk·Monday, November 2, 2026·1 min read
Editorial summary of reporting byColliersOur editorial standards →
The answer · checked against Colliers

What weather risks does El Niño create for commercial real-estate owners and what does Colliers recommend they do about it?

Colliers warns that a significant El Niño is shifting weather risks across the United States and urges commercial real-estate owners to act before severe weather occurs. Colliers identifies property condition, operating expenses, building systems, tenant experience, and business continuity as areas of exposure. Asset performance can erode even when buildings avoid major physical destruction, Colliers said.

Key facts
  • Colliers said a significant El Niño is bringing shifting weather risks across the United States for commercial real-estate owners and operators.
  • Colliers said severe weather can affect property condition, operating expenses, building systems, tenant experience, and business continuity.
  • Colliers said weather volatility may damage asset performance even when buildings avoid major physical destruction.
  • Colliers recommends proactive property management to identify vulnerabilities, strengthen resilience, and prepare for disruptions.
  • Colliers encourages owners and operators to evaluate how changing conditions could affect operations and performance before severe weather occurs.
Colliers Warns Commercial Property Owners to Prepare for El Niño Weather Disruption
Image: editorial illustration · Story sourced from Colliers

A significant El Niño is bringing shifting weather risks across the United States, creating potential challenges for commercial real-estate owners and operators, Colliers said. The firm warned that severe weather can affect property condition, operating expenses, building systems, tenant experience and business continuity.

Weather volatility may damage asset performance even when buildings avoid major physical destruction, Colliers said. The firm recommends proactive property management to identify vulnerabilities, strengthen resilience and prepare for disruptions.

Colliers said owners and operators are encouraged to evaluate how changing conditions could affect operations and performance before severe weather occurs. The firm did not specify which regions face the highest risk or quantify potential cost impacts.

El Niño events typically bring wetter conditions to the southern United States and drier conditions to the north, though local effects vary. Colliers did not detail which property types or markets face the greatest exposure from the current weather pattern.

Risks that announce themselves through gradual operating-cost creep rather than headline losses often go unhedged until too late, family office advisor Jaf Glazer has cautioned.

The firm's advisory comes as commercial property owners contend with elevated operating costs from insurance, energy and maintenance. Weather-related disruptions could compound those pressures by forcing unplanned capital outlays or accelerating tenant turnover if building systems fail during extreme conditions.

The Deployment Angle

Family Office Real Estate Daily Desk · our analysis, not the source's

Family offices holding direct property should immediately audit insurance schedules for weather-exclusion clauses and gap coverage on business-interruption loss. Many policies exclude flood or wind damage unless purchased as separate riders, and sublimits on mold remediation or emergency power restoration can leave principals exposed to six-figure unbudgeted outlays.

Underwrite properties in southern and coastal markets with a 15 to 20 percent contingency reserve for unplanned weather-driven capex over the next two years. Budget line items for HVAC redundancy, roof reinforcement and stormwater management that were deferred during acquisitions will now compress cash yields if executed under duress after a weather event.

Avoid entering new co-GP or platform-capital commitments with sponsors whose asset-management budgets lack explicit weather-resilience line items or whose portfolios concentrate in single climate zones. A partner that underwrites to historic weather norms rather than forward climate projections will deliver volatility the LP was not paid to bear, and that volatility shows up as distribution holidays rather than announced losses.

Questions this story answers

01Why does Colliers say commercial property owners should worry about El Niño even if their buildings are not damaged?

Colliers said weather volatility may damage asset performance even when buildings avoid major physical destruction. Colliers identified operating expenses, building systems, tenant experience, and business continuity as areas that can be affected by severe weather, meaning financial and operational harm can occur without structural damage.

02What specific risks does Colliers say El Niño creates for commercial real estate?

Colliers said severe weather associated with a significant El Niño can affect property condition, operating expenses, building systems, tenant experience, and business continuity for commercial real-estate owners and operators across the United States.

03What does Colliers recommend commercial property owners do to prepare for El Niño weather disruption?

Colliers recommends proactive property management to identify vulnerabilities, strengthen resilience, and prepare for disruptions. Colliers also encourages owners and operators to evaluate how changing conditions could affect operations and performance before severe weather occurs.

04Which parts of the United States are affected by the El Niño weather risks Colliers is warning about?

Colliers said a significant El Niño is bringing shifting weather risks across the United States, but the source text does not specify particular states, regions, or submarkets beyond that national-level characterization.

Original reporting
Colliers
Read the original at Colliers →
risk-managementweather-riskoperating-expensesasset-managementinsurance
Peer Network · By Invitation

The Thesis Exchange

Share an investment thesis in confidence. We pair you anonymously with up to two other family offices running adjacent strategies. Reviewed by Gallium's editorial team. No vendor pitch.