U.S. banks tightened lending standards for small businesses and commercial real estate during the third quarter as lenders grew more cautious about economic conditions, according to a Federal Reserve survey published Nov. 2. The Fed's Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices for October pulled responses from 61 domestic banks and 18 U.S. branches of foreign lenders. The survey tracks banks' reported lending standards, terms and demand, not actual loan volumes.
Banks tightened standards for premiums charged on riskier loans for firms of all sizes, the Fed said. Lending to large and middle-market firms was broadly unchanged, but banks pulled back on credit to smaller businesses. Lenders pointed to a less favorable or more uncertain economic outlook and a worsening of industry-specific problems as the key reason for the shift.
Commercial real estate emerged as a pressure point. Banks reported tightened standards across construction and land development, nonfarm nonresidential properties, and multifamily properties. Lenders also reported weakening demand for loans in all commercial real estate categories.
Banks also tightened credit standards for nonbank financial firms such as private equity funds and business and mortgage credit intermediaries. The pullback came amid growing demand for liquidity from private equity funds and business credit intermediaries. Lenders again cited prevailing economic uncertainty and concerns over the deteriorating financial strength among nonbank financial institution borrowers.
Household credit sentiment appeared mixed. Banks left mortgage standards broadly unchanged but eased standards for jumbo mortgages while tightening rules for subprime loans. Banks reported weaker demand across all residential real estate loan categories. Banks also reported being more likely to approve credit card applications to super-prime and prime borrowers and less likely to approve applications to subprime borrowers, with small banks driving the trend for subprime borrowers.
The tightening came as borrowing costs moved sharply higher during the third quarter. The 10-year Treasury note yield hit an intraday high of 5.349% on Oct. 5, its highest level since April 2002, amid concerns over rising U.S. debt. Tiffany Wilding, managing director and economist at PIMCO, said in a note Oct. 28 that higher government bond yields have catalyzed a broader repricing of credit risk, especially for lower-quality borrowers.
A CNBC and SurveyMonkey poll found that one in five Americans who rent or have a mortgage spend at least half of their pretax income on housing, while 49% spend between 25% and 49%. Lender guidance recommends consumers spend 28% to 30% of their income on housing. A separate Federal Reserve report released Oct. 9 found that the percentage of families behind on loan payments at the end of 2025 reached almost 20%, up from about 12% in the previous survey in 2022.
